These references have come in handy at one point or another: Papers Dixon, Mark J., and Coles, Stuart G. “Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46, no. 2 (1997) 265-280. DOI Karlis, Dimitris, and Ioannis Ntzoufras. “Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52, 3 (2003) 381-393.

These references have come in handy at one point or another: Papers Dixon, Mark J., and Coles, Stuart G. “Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46, no. 2 (1997) 265-280. DOI Karlis, Dimitris, and Ioannis Ntzoufras. “Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52, 3 (2003) 381-393.

These references have come in handy at one point or another: Papers Dixon, Mark J., and Coles, Stuart G. “Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46, no. 2 (1997) 265-280. DOI Karlis, Dimitris, and Ioannis Ntzoufras. “Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52, 3 (2003) 381-393.

Each day the potential playoff outcomes are modeled hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us an estimate of what could happen! Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown here: Playoff Outcomes The odds of the playoff outcomes for all teams with a chance at the cup are below:

Each day the model plays out the remainder of the season hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us a good estimate in the teams’ expected point totals, chances of making the playoffs, and chances of winning the President’s trophy. Point Totals After simulating the season many times, the average points for each team is shown here: The ranges of points for each team: Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown in this graphic:

Each day the potential playoff outcomes are modeled hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us an estimate of what could happen! Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown here: Playoff Outcomes The odds of the playoff outcomes for all teams with a chance at the cup are below:

Each day the model plays out the remainder of the season hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us a good estimate in the teams’ expected point totals, chances of making the playoffs, and chances of winning the President’s trophy. Point Totals After simulating the season many times, the average points for each team is shown here: The ranges of points for each team: Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown in this graphic:

These references have come in handy at one point or another: Papers Dixon, Mark J., and Coles, Stuart G. “Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46, no. 2 (1997) 265-280. DOI Karlis, Dimitris, and Ioannis Ntzoufras. “Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52, 3 (2003) 381-393.

Each day the potential playoff outcomes are modeled hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us an estimate of what could happen! Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown here: Playoff Outcomes The odds of the playoff outcomes for all teams with a chance at the cup are below:

Each day the model plays out the remainder of the season hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us a good estimate in the teams’ expected point totals, chances of making the playoffs, and chances of winning the President’s trophy. Point Totals After simulating the season many times, the average points for each team is shown here: The ranges of points for each team: Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown in this graphic:

The Anaheim Ducks' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Arizona Coyotes' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Boston Bruins' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Buffalo Sabres' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Calgary Flames' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Carolina Hurricanes' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Colorado Avalanche’s pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Columbus Blue Jackets' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Dallas Stars' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Detroit Red Wings' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Edmonton Oilers' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Florida Panthers' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Los Angeles Kings' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Minnesota Wild’s pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Montreal Canadiens' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Nashville Predators' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The New Jersey Devils' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The New York Islanders' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The New York Rangers' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Ottawa Senators' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Philadelphia Flyers' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Pittsburgh Penguins' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The San Jose Sharks' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Seattle Kraken’s pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The St. Louis Blues' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Tampa Bay Lightning’s pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Toronto Maple Leafs' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Vancouver Canucks' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Vegas Golden Knights' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Washington Capitals' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Winnipeg Jets' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.

The Chicago Blackhawks' pace through the year, compared to their predicted pace, is shown below: Their points potential graph is below, with the other teams in their conference. How they’ve over- or under-performed is here, with the other teams in their division.