Each day the model plays out the remainder of the season hundreds of thousands of times. This gives us a good estimate in the teams’ expected point totals, chances of making the playoffs, and chances of winning the President’s trophy. Point Totals After simulating the season many times, the average points for each team is shown here: The ranges of points for each team: Playoff Odds The chance of each team making the playoffs are shown in this graphic:

These references have come in handy at one point or another: Papers Dixon, Mark J., and Coles, Stuart G. “Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46, no. 2 (1997) 265-280. DOI Karlis, Dimitris, and Ioannis Ntzoufras. “Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52, 3 (2003) 381-393.