The first three links here are the regularly updated Game Day, Season Predictions and Playoff Predictions links. The remainder are articles explaining the model, changes over time, and exploring some other statistical nuances from the NHL.

Article

References

These references have come in handy at one point or another: Papers Dixon, Mark J., and Coles, Stuart G. “Modelling association football scores and inefficiencies in the football betting market.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 46, no. 2 (1997) 265-280. DOI Karlis, Dimitris, and Ioannis Ntzoufras. “Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 52, 3 (2003) 381-393.